by Intro
I can’t fathom that this is my second “Annual Covid Summary” post – today it’s exactly one year ago that I wrote the summary for 2020. At that time, I was pretty certain (based on following THE DATA!) that I would not have to write a report for 2021…
Boy, was I wrong….! The entire world is still, almost 2 years into the Pandemic, not following the data, but continuing to “Follow The Science” (TM), going full #MassFormationPsychosis.…! Not only the click-baiting. fear mongering media, but also our Governments and Authorities continue pushing the false narrative that Covid is the contemporary equivalent to the Spanish Flu, and that the only way to avoid a catastrophy is to vaccinate everybody with 3,4,5,… shots, to put papercloths around your mouth everywhere, and to isolate….
IM!HO the world has gone MAD. Fully and Completely. Period.
As of yesterday, SCB.se’s prel. all cause deaths data can be considered stable enough for drawing valid conclusions about Swedish all cause mortality 2021.
Anyhow, here it is: the numbers and facts regarding all things Covid and Death, Sweden 2021.
Covid-numbers
First, let’s look at the three types of Covid events that dominate the narrative: “Positive/ICU/Deaths”: below graph shows weekly events since the beginning of the pandemic up until now:
A couple of things worthwhile to notice:
- Since a couple of weeks back, the number of positive cases has skyrocketed
- There’s been 3 waves of ICU’s
- There’s been 2 waves of deaths
Next, since the number of positives is a function of number of tests (“the more you look, the more you’ll find”), let’s next look at cases, tests and cases per test:
So we see above that cases per tests have in the recent weeks gone from about 5% (very low) to about 18% (almost as bad as in Jan-2021), meaning that almost 1 in 5 tests now return positive. Should we be concerned…? It’s totally up to you, but personally, I don’t think so. Why…? Read here.
Next, let’s compare monthly the deaths labelled as “Covid Deaths” that is, those that actually died from Covid, and those who e.g. happened to be run over by a bus within 28 days of a positive test, 2020 vs 2021:
There seems to be a radical difference between 2020 and 2021.
Next, let’s look at the negative events Covid-ICU’s and Covid-Deaths per case, that is, the impact of Covid, from the beginning of the pandemic to today:
Looks like the “cases” result in less and less impact over time.
So let’s have a look at daily ICU beds, split by Covid vs Non-Covid:
Finally, wrt. Covid-events, let’s look at Variants of Concern:
All Cause Mortality & Deaths
First, mortality trends by age group, 2002-2021. Worthwhile to notice: for the 3 oldest age groups, mortality since about 2014 has been basically flat (until 2019, the year with the lowest overall mortality rate ever). Also worthwhile to notice is that the two oldest age groups had their lowest mortality rates ever during 2021. Granny seems safe.
Next, monthly mortality from start of pandemic to now:
We can use the above mortality rates and demografics from SCB, to define an expectation on deaths per age group, and compare that expectation on the observed, actual deaths:
Age groups combined:
And finally, the IM!HO, the best, most accurate way to measure deaths is by seasons, since deaths at our latitudes are highly seasonal:
Summary
The world went mad.
