3 oktober 2023


Inspired by a Twitter post by @ScoLatham, I got curious about occupational/professional fatality risks for various types of jobs, and how those risks relate to the risk dying of Covid.

Before reading on, I’d strongly suggest you have a look at the Twitter post linked above, it gives a very interesting perspective on many things about the current Covid panic and hysteria, not least why some people are neither very concerned about the virus, nor very interested in “getting the jab”.

Anyhow, I managed to find data on occupation specific fatalities for US 2020, from US Bureau of Labor Statistics, and I managed to find a very recent Danish study , from Nov. 2021, on Covid Infection Fatality Rates (IFR), so I pulled down the data from the sources.

(From the Danish study, I’m using their finding for IFR for the cohort 17-50 years, which is the closest match for comparing the IFR with the occupational fatality rates provided by US Bureau of Labor Statistics.)

Let’s start with a summary of occupational fatality rates for a few categories of jobs/professions:

The horizontal dashed black line shows the Covid IFR (3.36 per 100K) for 17 to 50 year olds. The red bars shows the occupational fatality risk for 7 different professional categories.

(double-click on the image for better resolution).

So, if you are working in Natural Resources (Forestry, Mining, Fishing etc) Construction or Maintenance, your job is about 3x more likely to kill you than is Covid. If you are working in Production or Transportation, your job is more than 2x more likely to kill you than Covid.

However, if you belong to the “LapTop Class”, that is, academic, professional or management, Covid is 3-4 times more likely to kill you than your job… No wonder the LapTop Class doesn’t seem to mind the lockdowns and other restrictions – they are simply terrified of the virus, since for them, Covid is, in terms of risk, the biggest threat they’ve ever faced, while the working class face much greater risks in their daily jobs, every day…

Now, since the estimated Covid IFR above is just that, an estimate based on one study, we could always argue that “no way, Covid IFR is much higher than 3.36 per 100.000”. So, let’s assume it’s 3 times the finding from the Danish study, that is 10 per 100.000, and let’s have a more detailed look at the top 10 risky jobs:

Even if the Covid IFR would be 10 per 100K, the risks of dying associated with many bluecollar jobs are vastly larger than the risk of dying of Covid.

Below a very busy chart with all the jobs.

Fishing and hunting workers132.1
Logging workers91.7
Helpers, construction trades43.3
Aircraft pilots and flight engineers34.3
Refuse and recyclable material collectors33.1
Structural iron and steel workers32.5
Driver/sales workers and truck drivers25.8
Farming, fishing, and forestry occupations25.3
Underground mining machine operators21.6
Farmers, ranchers, and other agricultural managers20.9
Grounds maintenance workers19.4
Electrical power-line installers and repairers18.6
Construction laborers18.1
Construction equipment operators17.6
Miscellaneous agricultural workers16.6
First-line supervisors of landscaping, lawn service, and groundskeeping workers15.3
First-line supervisors of mechanics, installers, and repairers14.4
Construction and extraction occupations13.5
Police officers13.4
Transportation and material moving occupations13.1
Natural resources, construction, and maintenance occupations12.6
Maintenance and repair workers, general12.3
First-line supervisors of construction trades and extraction workers11.7
Painters and paperhangers11.6
Telecommunications line installers and repairers11.6
Welding, soldering, and brazing workers9.2
Production, transportation, and material moving occupations8.8
Installation, maintenance, and repair occupations8.6
Security guards and gambling surveillance officers8.3
Building and grounds cleaning and maintenance occupations7.2
Automotive service technicians and mechanics7.2
Protective service occupations7.1
Athletes, coaches, umpires, and related workers6.2
Industrial machinery installation, repair, and maintenance workers6.2
Bus and truck mechanics and diesel engine specialists6.0
Industrial truck and tractor operators5.9
Pipelayers, plumbers, pipefitters, and steamfitters5.2
Heating, air conditioning, and refrigeration mechanics and installers5.1
Laborers and freight, stock, and material movers, hand5.0
Service occupations3.8
Construction managers3.4
First-line supervisors of production and operating workers3.2
Cashiers (including gambling change persons and booth cashiers )3.0
Production occupations3.0
Emergency medical technicians and paramedics2.8
Supervisors of food preparation and serving workers2.8
Janitors and building cleaners2.7
Property, real estate, and community association managers2.6
Personal care and service occupations2.3
First-line supervisors of retail sales workers2.0
Management occupations1.9
Food preparation and serving related occupations1.7
Sales and related occupations1.6
Retail salespersons1.6
Management, business, and financial operations occupations1.4
Arts, design, entertainment, sports, and media occupations1.4
Food service managers1.1
Healthcare support occupations1.1
Architecture and engineering occupations1.0
Life, physical, and social science occupations1.0
Community and social service occupations1.0
Sales and office occupations1.0
First-line supervisors of non-retail sales workers1.0
Management, professional, and related occupations0.9
Healthcare practitioners and technical occupations0.6
Professional and related occupations0.5
Office and administrative support occupations0.5
Registered nurses0.4
Business and financial operations occupations0.3
Legal occupations0.3
Educational instruction and library occupations0.2
Computer and mathematical occupations0.1

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